The DWP have published an updated impact assessment showing that 150,000 people will be plunged into poverty by the revised PIP cuts by 2030, down from 250,000 under the original proposals.

The reduction in numbers is the result of the government exempting current claimants from the impact of the PIP 4-point rule, which will come into force in November 2026, if Labour is successful in getting its Universal Credit and Personal Independence Payment Bill through parliament over the coming weeks.  It also takes into account the fact that the universal credit health element will not be frozen for current claimants from April 2026.

Whilst the reduction in the numbers who will face poverty will be welcomed, there may still be reluctance amongst some Labour MPs to vote for legislation that plunges any disabled claimants into poverty.

In a separate announcement Labour have said that the terms of reference for the comprehensive review of the PIP assessment will be published today.

In addition, draft regulations for the new Right to Try Guarantee, “enshrining protections in law for disabled people and people with health conditions who want to try work” will also be published today.

Plus, the government amendments which will exempt current claimants from the 4-point system should be published today.

And somehow, MPs will be expected to read and understand all these documents in time for tomorrow’s debate and vote, which will affect the lives and livelihoods of millions of disabled claimants over the coming years.

You can read the revised impact statement here

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  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 1 hours ago
    All I can say is "lies, damned lies, and statistics" can we belive anything they say!

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    · 2 hours ago
    Forgive me if I'm being stupid, but they keep going on about how many are getting Pip and how it's increasing and getting out of control. And it will make the Goverment go bust.  But are these figures not due in part to claimants from DLA transitioning over to Pip from DLA.
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 5 hours ago
    Can anyone actually see any type of positive future when Starmer wins tomorrow, I can’t, it’s hard enough as it is, when he wins it’ll empower him to do more dreadful cuts. 
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      · 2 hours ago
      @Kevin Let's just see what happens tomorrow and take it from there.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 3 hours ago
      @Kevin Here's hoping he doesn't win. I think their are still a lot of MPs that will vote against his bill. Fingers crossed.
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 5 hours ago
    It’s all to much, I’m a bag of nerves I’m already taking six different types of medication twice a day to control my bipolar, psychosis, OCD and extreme anxiety and my CPN has just had to prescribe me diazepam to help me as I’m feeling so anxious a s suicidal. 

    It all looks so bleak for us all for tomorrows vote, maybe it’s because I’m in mental health crisis at the moment but I can’t see us winning and the next few years are going to be dystopian for anyone to ill to work. What the hell are we to do? 
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 6 hours ago
    "The Conservatives have just put the pressure on, and confirmed they will vote against the bill tomorrow.

    That’s more than 100 no votes in the bag, and it's now likely to be down to how Labour rebels vote that decides whether the bill passes."

  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 6 hours ago
    Earlier today @DisRebellion had their twitter account suspended.

    They think that someone in gov reported on them to get it shut down

    Obviously there’s no way to prove this but the disabilityrebellion are very active disability campaigners and the timing of this ‘silencing’ is very suss
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 6 hours ago
    From @cjayanetti (journalist) on twitter:

    What's playing out in the Commons is utter madness. We don't even know what the new scoring criteria will be when the new scoring system comes in.

    There's not a single MP, including the secretary of state, including the prime minister, who knows what they're actually voting on

    I struggle to think of any legislation that has had such a ludicrous passage through Parliament. Fag-packet rewrites days before key votes, and huge blank spaces where answers should be.

    If the Timms review doesn't have the ability to go beyond the budgetary envelope prescribed by the government's savings plan, it's window dressing for cuts and will be seen as such

    Given how much the government is now relying on the Timms review to address MPs' concerns, that question is now central - can the "co-produced" Timms review go beyond the existing budgetary envelope

  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 6 hours ago
    I've just read this - "Vicky Foxcroft, Labour MP for Lewisham North who quit as a Government whip over the reforms, asked: “If claimants request a reassessment because of worsening health conditions, will they be assessed on the current criteria or new eligibility criteria?”

    Ms Kendall replied: “For existing claimants, they will remain under the new rules unless they request a reassessment until November 2026, and from November 2026 onwards, there will be that four-point minimum.”"

    Doesn't this mean that the so called protection for existing claimants is only as good for current claim periods? That as soon as we are reassessed, we fall foul of the 4 point rule? How is this any different from the original? 
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 6 hours ago
    Been following the statement this afternoon on Guardian live.So from November 2026 all claimants will be assessed by 4 points rule, including existing claimants.Many Labour MPs now saying they can't vote for bill as it is not as it seems.Thank goodness they can see the sly,lying way this is being rushed through.Mail is saying the vote may well be lost,I hope it is.There will now be a rush from potential claimants to be assessed on old rules, although I don't believe that will even happen.The bill needs to be dropped now before thousands of people become poorer.
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 6 hours ago
    Guardian live text:

    Sarah Owen, chair of the Commons women and equalities committee and one of the MPs who signed the Hillier reasoned amendment, again asked why the government is legislating before the outcome of the review into the problem the legislation is supposed to address. She said:

    What is the logic of making changes to future claimants before finishing the Timms review, now co-produced for disabled people? Could this lead to not just two tiers, but three tiers – those existing claimants, those new claimants who will lose out and those post Timms review?
    Kendall stressed that existing claimants were being protected. In future, it wanted to aim Pip at those with “higher needs”, she said.

    Stella Creasy (Lab) said she did not doubt Kendall’s commitment to getting this right. But she said these plans would breach the government’s commitments under the UN Convention on the Rights of People with Disabilities.

    Kendall said she would not be making any proposals that were against the law.
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 6 hours ago
    I said earlier that Kendall said this afternoon in a response to a question  that those triggering their reassessment due to changes in their health would be assessed under the new rules after November 2026.  It appears she misspoke, as the draft amendment deposited in the Commons library clearly contradicts this.  It says that no current claimant will  be under the new rules for reviews after November 2026 "whether planned or due to a change in circumstances."
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    · 6 hours ago
    Kirsty Blackman (SNP) asked why Labour did not include these plans in its manifesto.

    Kendall said reforming the benefits system was in the manifesto.

    ———————

    Anyone remember that part of the manifesto?
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 6 hours ago
    Guardian live text an hr ago (catching up now):

    Debbie Abrahams has also told ITV that the government has gone back on the concessions it offered last week, Jessica Elgot reports.

    🚨 MP Debbie Abrahams said that one of the offers the government is making today is not what rebel negotiators thought they had negotiated.
    Says there has been “row back” and tells ITV that “We’re not there yet.”

  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 6 hours ago
    could the bill be withdrawn at the eleventh hour
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 5 hours ago
      @Pens I for one can’t see that happening, they are hell bent on getting this bill through at any cost, the cost is at the expense of disabled and mentally ill people who don’t matter in their eyes, so the bill will pass, we are a an obstacle they want to remove from society. 
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 5 hours ago
      @Pens Here's hoping 🤞🙏
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 5 hours ago
      @Pens I would think it's unlikely, but it could happen if they think they're very likely to lose.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 6 hours ago
      @Pens I do hope so, although, of course, then we are plunged into more dread and fear of what may come next instead. They have no idea of the anguish they are causing, and I don't doubt this has made some people's health worse! 
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    · 7 hours ago
    From the gov website:

    Timms Review of the PIP Assessment
    Terms of Reference

    This government is committed to ensuring that Personal Independence Payment (PIP) is a non-means tested cash benefit which is there for people, now and into thefuture. While we are acting now, via the Universal Credit and Personal Independence Payment Bill, to make sure the system is sustainable to support generations to come, we are committed to doing this in the context of holistic reform.
    That is why we are also launching a wider review of the PIP assessment as a whole, to make sure it is fair and fit for the future in a changing world and helps supportdisabled people to achieve better health, higher living standards and greater independence.

    Rationale for the review

    PIP was first introduced in 2013, to replace Disability Living Allowance (DLA) foradults. It is now over a decade since the assessment criteria were designed and much has changed during that time. While there have been two independent reviews
    of the PIP assessment in 2014 and 2016, these focussed on the quality and consistency of decision making and the claims process. The assessment itself has never been fully reviewed.
    Since PIP was introduced, there have been shifting trends in long-term health conditions and disability, as well as changes in wider society and the workplace.
    Close to 10 million working age people are disabled (23%), and this number has grown by nearly 3 million since 2013/14. There have been greater increases in the prevalence of disability among young people and a rise in mental health conditions.
    Alongside this, PIP claims have grown very considerably in recent years. In 2019, there were 2 million working age people in receipt of PIP. This number grew by 50% in the following five years, and is set to more than double from 2 to over 4 million people by the end of the decade. More people are living with a disability, but the
    increase in the number in receipt of disability benefits is double the rate of increasing prevalence among working-age adults in England and Wales. Increases in claims have led to a doubling of spending on PIP, from £11 billion in 2019/20 to £22 billion
    for working age claimants last year (with spending forecast to rise to over £30 billion a year by 2029/30).
    To ensure the sustainability of the safety net in this context, the Government is legislating to target support towards those with greater needs, via a requirement that
    all new claimants to PIP must score a minimum of four points in one Daily Living activity. We have also announced that the PIP assessment will become the single gateway for health-related and disability benefits when the Work Capability
    Assessment (WCA) is scrapped, placing additional importance on this element of the system. We will be setting out plans for how access to the health element of UC will work when the WCA is removed as part of the forthcoming White Paper.
    Against this backdrop it is critical that the public and most importantly disabled people themselves, can trust in the fairness and fitness of the PIP assessment.
    We are therefore undertaking this wider review with the aim of making sure that the assessment fairly reflects the reality of the impact of people’s conditions in the modern world. PIP is intended to improve people’s independence. Given the insight assessments provide into the challenges people face, we also want to ensure that Government is not missing opportunities to connect people to a system of active support that helps them manage and adapt to their long-term condition or disability in ways that expand their functioning and improve their independence. It will generate
    recommendations and proposals for change, for consideration by Ministers and Parliament.

    Scope

    The review will be led by the Minister for Social Security and Disability, Sir Stephen Timms, and be coproduced with disabled people, along with the organisations that represent them, experts, MPs and other stakeholders, so a wide range of views and
    voices are heard. The review will ultimately report to the Secretary of State for Work and Pensions for final decisions.
    The review will include consideration of:
    • The role of the PIP assessment – as the future single gateway to health-
    related and disability benefits – in enabling disabled people and those with long term conditions to live independently and fully participate in society.
    • The assessment criteria – including activities, descriptors and associated
    points – to consider whether these effectively capture the impact of long-term health conditions and disability in the modern world. The review will consider both the Daily Living and Mobility elements of the PIP assessment.
    • Whether any other evidence should be considered alongside the functional assessment to fairly reflect the impact of living with a long-term health condition or disability, including related to an individual’s personal circumstances and environment.
    • How the PIP assessment could provide fair access to the right support at the right level across the benefits system.
    • What role the assessment could and should play in unlocking wider support to better achieve higher living standards and greater independence.

    Principles

    The review will be underpinned by several key principles:
    • The goal of the review is to ensure that the PIP assessment is fair and fit for the future – reflecting the reality of people’s conditions and their goals and ambitions – taking account of changes in society since it was first devised and introduced.
    • The review will ensure that PIP remains a crucial part of the health-related and disability benefits system, providing non-means-tested support, because anyone can be impacted by a long-term condition or disability.
    • The review will be co-produced with disabled people, the organisations that represent them, clinicians, experts, MPs and other stakeholders, so a wide range of views and voices are heard. We will engage widely over the summer to design the process for the work of the review, including to ensure that expertise from a range of different perspectives is drawn upon.
    • The review will take account of other reforms announced in the Pathways to Work Green Paper, in particular the work underway on how access to the
    health element of UC will operate, via the PIP assessment, when the WCA is
    removed. The Government will set out its approach to this issue in the
    forthcoming White Paper.
    • The review will take account of related work underway across the wider health and social care system and other linked benefits and services, including the independent commission into adult social care chaired by Baroness Louise Casey.
    • The purpose of the review is to ensure the assessment is fair and fit for the future rather than to generate proposals for further savings.
    Because of our commitment to coproduce, the precise timeline for the review will be determined over the summer, based on the design work with stakeholders to ensure the review can fulfil its aims. But we expect it to conclude by Autumn 2026. The review will report to the Secretary of State for Work and Pensions, so that the Government can then make any decisions flowing from it. These could take the form of changes to primary legislation, secondary legislation, as well as a range of potential non-legislative actions
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 7 hours ago
    From the Telegraph:

    "Vicky Foxcroft, Labour MP for Lewisham North who quit as a Government whip over the reforms, asked: “If claimants request a reassessment because of worsening health conditions, will they be assessed on the current criteria or new eligibility criteria?”

    Ms Kendall replied: “For existing claimants, they will remain under the new rules unless they request a reassessment until November 2026, and from November 2026 onwards, there will be that four-point minimum.”

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2025/06/30/politics-latest-news-welfare-bill-keir-starmer-andy-burnham/
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 7 hours ago
    OK so as Kendall is at times as clear as mud can I check my understanding of what she said is correct.

    That going by what Kendall said in the Commons existing claimants remain under the current PIP assessment system descriptors and points for all future reassessments forever.

    New claims made from Nov 2026 will be the current descriptors and points but with the new 4pt rule and when Timms new PIP assessment is implemented the new PIP system which may have different descriptors and points but will also have the 4pt rule.

    And if an existing claimant has a fluctuating condition and becomes ineligible for PIP and later put in a new claim for PIP they are subject to the new system unless Timms changes the rules.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 4 hours ago
      @Kitty Kat Josh Fenton-Glynn
      (Calder Valley) (Lab)
      on a specific point, if someone currently receives PIP but their condition is getting worse and they ask for a reassessment of the level of their PIP, will they be assessed under the current system or under the new one?

      Liz Kendall
      They are an existing claimant and they will be assessed—let me be really clear about this—under the existing rules.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 5 hours ago
      @John Changed it again and Kendall has said that existing claimants will be reassessed under the new rules from Nov 2026 which will be the 4 point minimum. They don’t know what they  are doing.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 6 hours ago
      @John Our reassessment is due in Dec 2026.  So we will have the new ineligibility rules. Dear God they've not changed a thing. We thought cos we were existing claimant that was going to be the same.  But not today.  Back to square one, worry like hell square.
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 7 hours ago
    The events of the last few days prove beyond any doubt that this Labour government- at cabinet level at least- are completely oblivious to the lives of Benefits recipients. Starmer and his close coterie treat those on benefits as an afterthought at best. And the way they misread the mood of their own MPs on the PIP changes shows just how out of touch they are. 
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 7 hours ago
    From guardian live text:

    Kendall says Pip claimants who get reassessed after November 2026 will be reassessed under new rules, not current ones
    Vicky Foxcroft, who resigned as a Labour whip over the bill, asked if the Timms review would have the power to review the budget savings being achieved by these cuts. And she asked what would happen if someone requested a reassessment because of worsening health conditions. Would they be reassessed under the old criteria or the new one?

    Kendall said that the Timms review was not being driven by the need to save money.

    (That did not fully address the question. Foxcroft wanted to know if it would be able to recommend more spending.)

    And Kendall said people can request a reassessment. If that happens before November 2026, that will be under the old system. After that, it will be under the new system, she said.

    ——————————————

    I though Timms reassessment reforms weren’t due to come in till 2028 earliest - Kendall clear suggests here that pip assessments due reforms will be in place at the same time that the 4pt rule comes in (November 2026)

    Basically this means that the gov concessions are worthless because we don’t know what descriptors and activities will be in the new assessment. The pts for a descriptor a claimant gets now may no longer be on the pip review form come nov 2026

    This government are bear faced liars and all rebels who can’t see the obvious screw over in Kendall’s commons statement and vote for this bill should be shamed and lose their seats asap

    There’s a quote from the hunger games series that seems relevant:

    “If we burn, you burn with us”

    Time to force the gov to bin this dehumanising bill and start from stratch (and fire mcsweeney, reeves, Kendall and timms as a peace offering)
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 5 hours ago
      @D Exactly !!!
      They'll just change the descriptors after Timms review.
      I hope MPs note this.
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