There is growing evidence that the DWP have rigged the results of personal independence payment (PIP) review results to slash the percentage of claimants who get an increase by two thirds.  A sudden fall began in the month that The DWP appointed new assessment contractors and set up their own Health Assessment Advisory Service (HAAS) to control them.

Success rates fall

Back in April we warned that the latest official DWP statistics showed that there had been a major drop in the number of claimants getting an increase in their PIP as a result of a planned award review.

The figures for the quarter up to January 2026 showed that all three months saw increases for fewer than 10% of planned award reviews, the first time this had ever happened.

Just 6.44% of claimants got an increase over the quarter, compared to 10.16% the year before and 20.9% the year before that.

We waited to see if the last quarter’s result were just a blip.  But the DWP have now released the statistics for February to April of this year.  And again the percentage of claimants who got an increase in their PIP as a result of a planned award review was just 7%.

Further research has revealed that there was a particularly dramatic fall in the proportion of increased awards in 2024.  It dropped from 26% in August 2024 to just 14.2% in September 2024.

The figure has never gone above 14.2% since then and has continued to fall overall to its current level.

It means that the proportion of claimants getting an increased award has dropped from around 1 in 4 or 5, to 1 in 14 in the space of less than two years.

At the same time, the proportion of awards that were decreased fell from 11.3% to 4.8% and is currently around 6%.

This means that the proportion of PIP awards that stayed the same on review went from 51.3% in August 2024 to 75.9% in September 2024 and now stands at 83%.

In other words, planned award reviews went from changing half of all awards to making no difference whatsoever in over 8 out of 10 cases, in less than two years.

Can it really be the case that suddenly the vast majority of PIP claimants experience no significant deterioration – or improvement -  in their condition between reviews?

HAAS takes over

It is worth noting that the month in which these dramatic changes began, September 2024, was the month that HAAS took over providing health assessments.

HAAS is part of the DWP.  It now provides all the training, guidance and software for assessors who still work for private companies.

And the private sector contracts changed radically too, with Atos (known as IAS) losing all their PIP assessment contracts and being replaced by:

  • Maximus
  • Capita
  • Serco
  • Ingeus

So, just at the point when the DWP took much closer control of the process and appointed new companies, the success rate for PIP renewals took a sudden dive and the vast majority of awards began to remain the same.

This sudden fall in success rates wasn’t replicated elsewhere.  The PIP success rate for new claims for example, has also dropped, but the decline has been more gradual and less huge.  In August 2024 it was 46% and in April of this year it had fallen to 37%.

Just one call

Something else notable has happened recently, however. 

The DWP has been under increasing pressure for several years to increase the proportion of face-to-face rather than telephone assessments.  The right wing press and politicians have repeatedly claimed that people can get many thousand of pounds a year in benefits on the strength of a single phone call.  It isn’t true, but it was a stick with which to beat the last Conservative government and the current Labour one.

The problem is that it is very hard and expensive to recruit and retain assessors and face-to-face assessments are much more time consuming.  So the only realistic way to increase the number of face-to-face assessment would be to dramatically reduce the number of assessments taking place overall.

Nonetheless, in December Labour announced that PIP face-to-face assessments would be increased from 6% to 30%.

In order to do this the time between PIP reviews was to be extended for the majority of PIP claimants aged 25 and over, to a minimum of three years for a new claim, rising to 5 years at their next review if they remain entitled.

And in May, a further change was announced, allowing the DWP to extend PIP awards for existing claimants aged 25 and over, in order to cope with the growing backlog of planned award reviews.

The justification for this was that the majority of planned award reviews did not result in any change to the claimant’s entitlement.

Sound the alarm

In a committee debate on 25 June a Conservative MP said she wanted to “sound the alarm” about the powers being handed to the secretary of state to change the length of PIP awards with no public or parliamentary scrutiny, with the new powers being presented as simply tweaks to regulations.

In response, disability minster Stephen Timms argued:

“As mentioned by my hon. Friend, under the contracts with assessment providers that were negotiated by the last Government, we can call on only a finite volume of assessment capacity. We could, as the last Government did, use a large chunk of that capacity for frequent reassessments of PIP claimants whose circumstances most likely have not changed at all, or we can use that resource in a more productive way. That is what we have chosen to do.”

But it now seems that the reason there are so many “PIP claimants whose circumstances most likely have not changed at all” is that the books have been cooked.  In reality, the DWP embarked on a two year project to ensure that very few PIP planned reviews result in a change, in order to free up assessment capacity.

Missing out

We are entirely prepared to be proved wrong about this and look forward to a strong rebuttal from the DWP.

But at the moment it looks like tens of thousands of PIP claimants every year will now miss out on an increase in their award that they desperately need because of changes in their condition.

And the only reason they are losing out is so that the DWP can protect itself from criticism.

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    · 20 hours ago
    In other news. Burnham is planning the biggest transfer of power out of Whitehall in modern times. With decision making transferred to regions and local communities. Including giving Mayors more powers and funding to deliver social housing and tackle welfare dependency and run post 16 education.

    So it looks like a post code lottery might be coming. As far as what help and support people get offered towards and into work. Can only hope it will be voluntary.  
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    · 1 days ago
    Dwp spokesman after reading @John's analysis:

    "What he said."
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    · 1 days ago
    To my previous post I would like to add another possible contributing factor. The fall in planned reassessments resulting in award increases coincides with the 10 year anniversary of the mass transfer of claimants from DLA to PIP. When lots of people with long-term disabilities would have been given max PIP awards for 10 year or 5 year fixed terms. Their reassessments would likely result in no increase, and no change in award level and so a fall in the percentage resulting in a increase. 
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    · 1 days ago
    As I pointed out back in April. The planned review stats might include the mass reviews done by the DWP to correct errors in how PIP was assessed. After the DWP lost legal cases. That resulted in large numbers of claimants getting their awards increased after being reviewed by the DWP. That would explain the higher award increased figures from previous years.

    And changes in interpretation of PIP descriptors would in any event cause more people to get a higher award when their planned reassment came up.

    So maybe the fall reflects the DWP not lossing any cases in court recently so not having to change it's interpretation of PIP descriptors. 
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      · 10 hours ago
      @John @John Thanks for your suggestions. We may have got it wrong and there may be other explanations for these stats, but I don't think these are them.

      There wasn't a 10 year anniversary of the mass transfer of claimants from DLA to PIP, it has happened over many years and is still ongoing. In September 2014 just 4,209 transfers took place. Transfers rose to a peak in March 2017, when 45,044 people were transferred and then steadily declined and is now at about 1,000 a month.

      There is no indication that administrative exercises (mass reviews) following court decisions are included in the stats, indeed it is very unlikely as the DWP definition of planned award review in statxplore is "where claims undergo a planned review to look at entitlement at set intervals to ensure a claimant continues to receive the correct award. The review point is selected based on the claimant’s individual circumstances." The DWP would be very unlikely to muddy many years of recording the same event by adding special exercises, which are definitely not planned award reviews. Separate stats for administrative exercises are usually published.

      Even if these administrative exercises had been included, they would not have caused a sudden fall in award increases in September 2024. The MM exercise was probably by far the largest. It started in 2021 and finished in 2025, so spanned both sides of the sudden drop in September 2024. It resulted in 326,000 cases being reviewed and 47,000 claimants receiving an additional payment as a result of changes to descriptor 9(b). So around a 14% success rate, lower than the pre-September 2024 average and higher than the post-September 2024 average.
       
      I agree there may well be another explanation, rather than DWP mendacity. But so far, we don’t know what that might be.